Marple Sixth Form College: ambitious to be an outstanding college within its community, and for its community.

Poll

Who do you expect to vote for (no one can see your vote and you can change it any time).

DARRAN PALMER (UKIP)
LISA SMART (Liberal Democrat)
MICHAEL TAYLOR (Labour)
WILLIAM WRAGG (Conservative)
Don't Know Yet
Won't Vote
GRAHAM REID (Green Party)

Author Topic: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?  (Read 38759 times)

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moorendman

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #133 on: May 08, 2015, 03:23:17 PM »
Completely second that Bowden. Next stop for that traitor is the Tower, unfortunately Hamlets.

Bowden Guy

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #132 on: May 08, 2015, 03:00:59 PM »
And a fond farewell, also, to the execrable George Galloway, the supreme purveyor of identity politics in London, Bradford.....hammered by Labour. Surely the most repulsive politician of the past 30 years?

Bowden Guy

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #131 on: May 08, 2015, 11:46:48 AM »
Well said, Dave - my thoughts entirely. A bully, and an incompetent one at that.

Dave

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #130 on: May 08, 2015, 10:05:29 AM »
The day gets even better. I see that Ed Balls' political career is 'flatlining"......

Yes, Balls will surely be remembered as the Michael Portillo of this election    :D

For me, his unforgivable sin was as Secretary of State for Education.  After the horrible 'baby P' case, he instructed the relevant local authority to summarily dismiss its Head of Children's Services without following any kind of disciplinary process.  That was a mistake, but we all make mistakes sometimes.   But it was unforgivable when, after the woman who was sacked successfully sued for unfair dismissal, and was awarded about £500,000 of taxpayers' money in compensation, Balls refused to apologise and simply said 'no regrets - I would do it all again'.

A politician who believes he is above the law is not fit to hold public office, and it's good that he's gone. 

Bowden Guy

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #129 on: May 08, 2015, 08:33:09 AM »
The day gets even better. I see that Ed Balls' political career is 'flatlining"......

moorendman

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #128 on: May 08, 2015, 07:55:20 AM »
Thank you all for your gracious responses. I admittedly underestimated the UKIP vote, on reflection. The possibly unpalatable fact is that potential labour voters in traditional areas voted UKIP. Labour failed to address the concerns of white van man preferring to major on their own perceived issues., such as zero hours and nhs "crisis". I thought the UKIP vote would soften at the end.

simonesaffron

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #127 on: May 08, 2015, 07:42:47 AM »
Congratulations to William Wragg.

Let us hope that, that result doesn't transfer locally.

Well done moorendman, you got more right than wrong.

Maybe you can give up the day job after all.   

Howard

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #126 on: May 08, 2015, 07:32:29 AM »
Congratulations @moorendman,  there's a job waiting for you at YouGov
Howard

Dave

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #125 on: May 08, 2015, 07:22:03 AM »
Here are yesterday's Hazel Grove figures in votes rather than %s, and with the 2010 results in brackets.

Conservative         17,882    (14,114)   

Liberal Democrat   11,330    (20,485)   

Labour                   7,584      (5,234)

UKIP                      5,283       (2,148)

Green Party           1,140            -

perhaps my forecast is not as skewed as some thought.

Indeed - well done moorendman.  His Labour surge never happened, so the Lib Dems comfortably held on to second place, but he did foresee the dramatic nature of the Lib Dem collapse.  9,000 people who voted Lib Dem five years ago switched their allegiance - that's pretty remarkable.  Looking at the figures, one guess would be that most of then went to the Tories, but that the net increase in the overall Tory vote was not that great because of Tory voters switching to UKIP. 

admin

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #124 on: May 08, 2015, 06:35:03 AM »
According to the Manchester Evening News the results are:

William Wragg(Conservative) 41.38% (17,882)
Lisa Smart(Liberal Democrat) 26.22% (11,330)
Michael Taylor(Labour) 17.55% (7,584)
Darran Palmer(UK Independence Party) 12.22% (5,283)
Graham Reid (Green Party) 2.63% (1,140)

Congratulations to William Wragg, our new MP for Hazel Grove.


Howard

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #123 on: May 07, 2015, 11:48:42 PM »
Actually @moorendman you might be right. BBC are now predicting a significant Conservative gain for Hazel Grove.
Howard

moorendman

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #122 on: May 07, 2015, 11:19:55 PM »
On exit poll and the massive collapse of lib dem votes in the two Sunderland seats , perhaps my forecast is not as skewed as some thought.

Howard

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #121 on: May 07, 2015, 10:48:14 PM »
Combined BBC,  ITN and Sky exit poll:
Con:  316
Lab: 239
LD: 10
SNP: 58
UKIP: 2

YouGov exit poll:
CON 284
LAB 263
LD 31
SNP 48
UKIP 2
PLAID 3
GREEN 1
Howard

Bowden Guy

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #120 on: May 07, 2015, 10:07:02 PM »
Well, if the BBC exit poll is, indeed, correct, perhaps William Wragg will be a happy chappy tomorrow morning?

Melancholyflower

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Re: Who are the candidates and who's got your vote?
« Reply #119 on: May 07, 2015, 06:23:57 PM »
I think you're close there simonesaffron. That's pretty much how I reckon things will pan out.

On the other hand, we could be completely wrong!